The stage is set for a thrilling Group C finale at the TotalEnergies CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025. Uganda faces a monumental task against a high-flying Nigeria on December 30, 2025. With everything on the line for the Cranes and pride at stake for the Super Eagles, this match promises intense football action. The game kicks off at 5 PM local time (16:00 GMT) at the Complex Sportif de Fès, and the stakes could not be higher for one of these teams. For Uganda, it’s a simple, yet daunting, equation: win or go home.

High Stakes in Group C

The situation in Group C is crystal clear. Nigeria has been dominant, securing two wins from their first two matches. Consequently, the Super Eagles have already booked their ticket to the knockout stage, leading the group with a perfect record. They enter this final group game with confidence and the freedom to potentially rotate their squad.

On the other hand, Uganda’s journey hangs by a thread. The Cranes are at the bottom of the group with just a single point. Their path to the round of 16 is narrow and fraught with difficulty. Anything less than a victory against the group leaders will mean an early exit from the tournament. Therefore, this match is a true final for the Ugandan side.

A Surprising Head-to-Head History

While Nigeria’s current form makes it the clear favorite, history tells a different story. In fact, the head-to-head record between these two nations might surprise many. Uganda actually holds a slight advantage over the Super Eagles.

• Total Meetings: 8
• Uganda Wins: 4
• Nigeria Wins: 2
• Draws: 2

Moreover, Uganda is unbeaten in their last three encounters with Nigeria, securing two wins and one draw. Nigeria’s last victory against the Cranes dates all the way back to an AFCON qualifier on March 24, 2007. Their only previous meeting in the AFCON finals was in the 1978 semi-finals, where Uganda memorably defeated Nigeria 2-1. This history gives the Cranes a psychological edge they will desperately need.

Current Form and What to Expect

History provides hope, but recent performance is crucial. Nigeria has been in formidable scoring form, finding the net in their last nine AFCON matches. They are aiming to win all three group games for the first time since 2021, showcasing their ambition.

Conversely, Uganda has struggled for wins at the tournament, remaining winless in its last five AFCON matches. They need to find a new level of performance to break this streak. Nigeria’s coach may rest key players, which could open a window of opportunity for a determined Ugandan side. The Cranes must capitalize on any chance they get against a powerful, albeit potentially changed, Nigerian lineup.

Conclusion: Can History Repeat Itself?

The Uganda vs Nigeria clash is a classic David versus Goliath scenario for AFCON 2025’s Group C. Nigeria, already qualified, plays for a perfect record. Uganda, in contrast, plays for its tournament life. While the Super Eagles’ current form is intimidating, the Cranes can draw immense inspiration from their favorable head-to-head record. This match is more than just a game; it’s a test of nerve, strategy, and desire. All eyes will be on Fès to see if Uganda can pull off a historic upset or if Nigeria’s dominance will continue.